The Super Mario Bros. movie is already an astronomical hit, nabbing the biggest-ever opening worldwide for an animated film, raking in $377 million in its first 5 days. Now it seems that could be just the start of the film’s success.

Axios spoke to MST Financial senior analyst David Gibson to get an outlook on where the movie could go from here, and the numbers that were thrown out are staggering.

According to Gibson, the movie is currently tracking towards $1.2 billion in global box office revenue by the team it reaches the end of its theatrical run. After that comes the digital side of things, and Gibson expect another $2.3 billion to come in from that release. Once expenses and other costs for the film are removed, Gibson says Nintendo should pull in a whopping $1.1 billion in revenue.

The one thing we’ve seen repeated with the Super Mario Bros. movie is analysts missing the mark, underestimating what actually happens. It’ll be very interesting to see if that happens yet again here. Obviously Nintendo and Illumination would love for that to be the case!


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Comments (4)


1y ago

That’s a lot of coins. I know that after seeing it I’m in for the 4K Superstar special edition and the vinyl soundtrack collection


1y ago

That seems way too high, but what do I know.

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1y ago

$2.3 billion in digital sales? I honestly think they are grossly over estimating the home release market nowadays.

The movie is expected to appear on Netflix if it is encapsulated within the existing deal between Universal and Netflix.